Denzel Washington’s ‘Right here Comes The Flood’ and Greta Gerwig’s ‘Narnia’ Lead Curiosity for Netflix 2026 Film Slate

2026 is simply across the nook, and whereas we’ve already lined our most anticipated films developing, what are the flicks that audiences are most excited for? Are they even conscious of any of them? These are the questions answered due to new information provided by Greenlight Analytics (fka The Quorum) to What’s on Netflix.

For these unfamiliar, Greenlight Analytics supplies movie monitoring, analysis, and actionable insights to distributors and manufacturing firms of all sizes. Till now, their analysis has been primarily targeted on theatrical releases from the massive studios, however they’re more and more shifting into streaming.

They’ve now offered us with their first wave of knowledge masking streaming releases particularly for Netflix, with their common concentrate on theatrical releases from conventional distributors. We gave them a number of high-profile films confirmed or anticipated to be launched in 2026 to gauge consciousness, curiosity, and even theatrical intent. 

However earlier than diving into the flicks that their panel is most trying ahead to, just a few fast clarifications. As Brandon Katz, Director of Insights & Content material Technique at Greenlight Analytics, notes, streaming success is essentially completely different from that of historically launched, box-office-focused films. “Streaming movies require considerably shorter advertising and marketing runways than theatrical movies,” Katz explains. “The latter normally unveils preliminary appears to be like six to 12 months earlier than launch… Streaming movie promotional campaigns have a tendency to begin simply three to 6 months earlier than launch.”

Primarily based on the methodology and steerage offered for this information set, which tracks all moviegoers, not simply frequent moviegoers, here’s what every metric represents:

• Consciousness: This measures whether or not audiences know a title exists. Excessive consciousness is typical for giant franchises (like Narnia), however usually decrease for unique streaming titles, the place solely restricted information articles have been launched with out a lot else. 
• Curiosity: This measures the need to observe the movie as soon as primary info has been relayed to the particular person taking the survey. That features issues just like the synopsis, accessible solid, behind-the-scenes expertise, and any property (like trailers, footage, and so forth.) that exist. 
• Theatrical Intent: This tracks the precise proportion of people that say they’d plan to see the film in a movie show if it have been accessible there. This metric helps gauge if a movie feels “cinematic” sufficient to drive field workplace site visitors versus simply being watched at house – certainly attention-grabbing for Netflix given their aversion to full theatrical releases. 
• Willingness to Pay: This can be a broader monetization metric. It counts respondents who’re prepared to spend cash in any type to see the content material. This contains shopping for a theatrical ticket, paying for a VOD (Video on Demand) rental/buy, or signing up for a subscription service particularly to observe that title.

Listed here are 13 films we requested about:

• APEX – Motion thriller from director Baltasar Kormákur starring Taron Egerton and Charlize Theron
• Animals – Ben Affleck directs this motion crime drama with Gillian Anderson, Kerry Washington, and Affleck amongst the star-studded solid. 

• Enola Holmes 3 – Lengthy-awaited third entry to the trilogy of films starring Millie Bobby Brown
• Good Intercourse – Lena Dunham’s upcoming rom-com starring Natalie Portman and Mark Ruffalo.
• Heartstopper: Eternally – Serving because the bookend to the Netflix YA LGBTQ+ sequence that has run for 3 seasons.
• Right here Comes the Flood – Motion heist thriller starring Robert Pattinson and Denzel Washington
• Narnia: The Magician’s Nephew – The long-awaited Narnia adaptation is within the works at Netflix, which is due out in late 2026.
• Workplace Romance – Ol Parker is directing this rom-com starring Jennifer Lopez and Brett Goldstein.
• Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man – Set to debut in March 2026, this follow-up to the principle sequence that aired on BBC and Netflix, we see the return of Cillian Murphy. 
• Folks We Meet on Trip – Due out in January, this romantic comedy is predicated on the best-selling novel. 
• Ray Gunn – Animated sci-fi function movie from Brad Chook and due out in late 2026. 
• The Adventures of Cliff Sales space – David Fincher is directing this follow-up to the Quentin Tarantino film As soon as Upon A Time in Hollywood.
• The Rip – Due out in January, this motion thriller stars Matt Damon and Ben Affleck. 

So, which has probably the most consciousness and which has probably the most curiosity? Right here’s the complete chart, ranked by curiosity from most to least. 

Whereas franchise IP leads in uncooked consciousness, usually talking, the idea and star energy of Right here Comes The Flood is dominating the metrics to this point, and that’s largely as a result of the truth that it stars Denzel Washington, who has had films dominate the highest 10s every time they’re licensed all over the place world wide. “Acquainted star-power continues to be a significant contributor to streaming success,” Katz instructed us, “Seeing Ryan Reynolds, Jamie Foxx, or Jennifer Lopez on a digital poster is extra more likely to elicit a click on at house.”

Narnia: The Magician’s Nephew, Greta Gerwig’s adaptation, is probably the most well-known title (38% Consciousness) and boasts a large 47% Curiosity rating. It’s taking part in notably nicely with youthful audiences (<35s), the place curiosity spikes to 51%. Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man and Enola Holmes 3 spherical out the opposite well-known IPs in Netflix’s roster. 

The Adventures of Cliff Sales space, maybe aided by the truth that Netflix hasn’t even acknowledged it exists, is lagging to this point in accordance with these metrics, regardless of being the one which gathers probably the most buzz on blogs and social media for hardcore movie followers. 

In accordance with their outcomes, Workplace Romance is probably the most “gendered,” holding the very best feminine skew on your entire slate (+3 factors), with 37% curiosity amongst girls vs. 34% amongst males. Good Intercourse, Heartstopper, and Enola Holmes 3 are extra evenly gendered, albeit with a small feminine skew. 

On the flipside, The Rip is probably the most male-skewing title (+10 factors) when it comes to curiosity, with males at 47% and girls at 37%. Unsurprisingly, the opposite motion titles on the listing additionally skew extra male: Cliff Sales space, Right here Comes the Flood, Peaky Blinders, Ray Gunn, and even Narnia. 

In terms of age, the under-35 viewers scores higher than the over-35 viewers throughout the overwhelming majority of classes. Curiously, O35 audiences carry out higher for acquainted star-driven autos comparable to Animals, Right here Comes the Flood, and The Rip.

Evaluating Netflix releases on to theatrical releases far out just isn’t fairly apples-to-apples, given the lengthy advertising and marketing run-up. Taking a look at a launch developing quickly, for instance, comparable to Avatar: Fireplace and Ash, the notice sits at 76, curiosity at 56, theater at 49, and charge at 59. 

The higher comparability, we’re instructed, is to check towards a few of the 2025 films within the week simply forward of their launch:

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